Long Term Obligations and Assets

Examples and demonstrations for chapter IV of Financial Reporting in Government
By Dr. John Sacco , George Mason University
Revised Saturday, April 12, 1997

The chapter 4 section on exercises and demonstrations is primarily expository in that it is basically explanations and reference material.

The material is arrange in sections and subsections. The reader can either go through the section in a linear fashion or use the buttons below to advance to selected sections or subsections.

Almost all the material is related to time value of money issues.

  • Introductory discussion:
  • Basic categories:
  • Practical application:
  • Algebraic Solutions
  • Time value of money tables (under construction)
  • Introductory Discussion

    In situations involving selection of capital projects or paying back debt, time value of money or discounted class flow is involved. This means that there is a cost or charge for lending or using (borrowing) money just like there is a cost or charge for selling or using other valued items. The cost is referred to either as the interest rate or discount rate. In general the longer the money is out and the higher the risk the more the charge, interest, or expected return.

    Another way to look at time value of money is that money earns money and the sooner it is received or invested the better. The sooner the money is lent or invested the more it will accumulate; conversely, money invested or lent much later will not earn as much, all other things being equal.

    Time value of money can have numerous categories, but here the discussion is restricted to four basic categories for employing time value of money calculations and a few typical illustrations using the four basic categories.

    The four basic categories for doing the calculations are given below.

    Basic Categories

    In these four cases, there is an additional issue of whether the activity takes place at the beginning or end of the period. For purposes of simplicity, all activity is assumed to occur at the beginning of the period.

    In all these categories, the amount used is $1 since knowing values related to $1 can translate to any amount.

    Although there are formula for all these calculations, time value of money tables are often used. In this section, the [time value of money table are used and are made available].<!button to the tables, which can be scanned since they are so detailed>

    Present value of $1

    The sooner money is received or earned the better; that is, is it better to get money earlier than later because the money can be invested and earn more money. Thus, if a person were offered $100,000 15 years from now versus $150,000 20 years from now it would not be clear which of the two is the economically more rational to accept. The present value of $1 can help determine which of the two is economically more rational by bringing back both values to the present (present value of $1) and comparing the two on equal terms.

    In order to bring amounts back to the present, a discount factor is needed. The discount is the interest rate one could reasonably earn or expect to earn if the money were invested at the present for a given risk.

    In both cases ($100,000, 15 years from now and $150,000, 20 years from now), the amounts will be worth considerably less since the present amount will have to be invested to reach the amounts promised 15 or 20 years from now. In more general terms, the earlier money is received the better.

      amounts             100,000   150,000
      discount factor        0.06      0.06
      years from now           15        20
      pv of $1            0.41726    0.3118
      present value       $41,726   $46,770
      

    The present value of $1 (pv of $1) can easily be found in the tables first by finding the [pv of $1 table]<!button to pv of $1 table> and then finding the % column (here called the discount) and period row (years in this case).

    When both amounts are discounted (.41726 for 15 years and 6% and .3118 for 20 years and 6%) the present value can be calculated simply by multiply the pv of $1 times the total amount (eg, .41427 * 100,000 = 41,426). In this illustration it would be better to wait the 20 years becasue enough is added to compensate for the extra 5 years.

    Practical applications of using the present value of $1 for decision making include helping to decide on capital projects or pension plans. If the above were alternative pension plans and money were the only consideration, then the 20 deal is better.

    Present value of an annuity

    The logic for an annuity is similar to the logic for $1 except the cash comes via an equal stream rather than at one time. For instance, instead of $100,000 15 years from now, the present value of an annuity might be $5,000 invested or received per year for ten years. Here is an illustration:
      annuity amount         5000      7000
      discount               0.06      0.06
      years                     7         5
      pv of an annuity     5.5824    4.2123
      present value       $27,912   $29,486
      

    In this case, it is preferable to take the 7,000 for only 5 years rather than the 5,000 for as long as 7 years since in actuality the 5 year deal produces a higher present value amount. The [present value of an annuity can be found in the tables].< !button to present value of annuity table >

    Future value of $1

    Whereas the present value brings values back to today, future values take values out to distant years. In other words, future values are investments and the compounding that takes place with investments. The future value of $1 is a single, one time investment which asks the question: how much will that single investment be worth in x number of years (or periods) at a given interest rate.
      amount                41726
      interest rate          0.06
      years                    15
      fv of $1             2.3966
      future value      100000.53
      

    Here, $41,726 is invested at 6% for 15 years, yielding a total of essentially $100,000.

    Note how present value and future value are related. In the present value of $1 illustration, the $100,000 comes back to today at a value of $41,726 given a period of 15 years and discount of 6%. The future value of $1 does just the opposite, it takes the $41,726 investment, invests it for 15 years at 6% and yields, essentially, $100,000.

    Again, future values are essentially investment decisions.

    Future value of an annuity

    Like the future value of $1 the future value of an annuity projects an investment into distant years but does so for a constant or equal stream of dollars. For example, what is the future value of $5,000 invested for 7 years at 6%?
      annuity amount         5000
      interest rate          0.06
      years                     7
      fv of an annuity      8.394
      future amount       $41,970
      

    Here is a situation one could use for personal investing. If I invested $5,000 at a fixed interest rate of 6% for 7 years how much would I have at the end of that period?

    General Issues

    Due v. Ordinary
    In the calculations, it is important to know whether the money invested is invested at the beginning of the period (due) or at the end of the period (ordinary). Due or at the beginning of the period would mean greater interest received since the interest is earned during the entire period. Ordinary or at the end fails to earn interest until the beginning of the next period.

    Periods v. years
    In understanding time value of money tables and calculations, it is important to appreciate that the tables are given in periods, not years, although all the examples thus far have been in terms of years. The tables are given in periods since that gives the tables the ability to accommodate times spans different from a year. If interest is paid every six months for 10 years and the interest rate is 6% the 6% is an annualized rate. Thus, the rate for the six months is 3% or half the rate for the year. However, the periods now need to be adjusted from 10 years to 20 periods since the 3% interest will be paid every 6 months for 10 years which is 20 periods. In any of the tables, one would look under 3% and 20 periods.

    Complexity in time value of money calculations
    The above examples are fairly straight forward, but actual situations can grow in complexity. Some of that complexity will be introduced in the practical applications. For instance, what happens if a government has already saved some money but wants to determine how much more it needs to save to reach a particular total? Such a problem will require a number of steps and some knowledge of basic algebra.

    Practical applications

    Selecting projects

    Assume a government has two project, both of which will yield a flow of income or revenue. To make the illustration somewhat realistic assume the income will be in the form of extra taxes resulting from economic growth.

    One project requires an initial investment of $1,000,000 and will generate $130,000 in extra taxes for 9 years. The other project requires an investment of $750,000 but will generate $77,000 in extra taxes for 15 years. Which is the better project, strictly on economic grounds?

                        project 1 project 2
      investment        1,000,000   750,000
      interest rate          0.06      0.06
      return               135000     77000
      years                     9        15
      pv of an annuity     6.8017    9.7122
      present amounts    $918,230  $747,839
      

    Here is an interesting case where the first project is more productive but one must ask if it is worthwhile to take on either of these projects given that neither will return an amount equal to the original investment?

    In terms of the calculations, the math is largely that of the present value of an annuity. There is a periodic stream of cash and it needs to be broght back to the present for comparison. Find the present value of an annuity for 6% and 9 years (periods) and multiple that by $135,000. Do the same for the $77,000 stream of cash.

    Investing to pay future debt

    Assume the government is a situation where is it obligated to pay back a debt of $500,000 10 years from now. The government currently has $25,000 to invest but realizes this amount will not grow sufficiently to match the full amount of the debt. The question is: how much must it invest annually to have the $500,000 in ten years?
      debt                           500000
      current amount                  25000
      fv for current amount
       for 10 years at 5%            1.6289
      future amount                 40722.5
      amount still needed                   459277.5
      fv of an annuity
       for 10 years at 5%            12.578
    
      investment needed                     36514.35
      

    Parts of this problem are fairly complicated; others, not. Figuring the amount that will result from the $25,000 is a straight forward future value of $1 problem. Just multiply the $25,000 times the 1.6289. Then subtract the result, $40,722.50 from $500,000 to get what is still needed -- $459,277.50. Here is where some of the complexity enters.

    Algebraic Solutions

    How much should be invested each year so that at the end of 10 years the government will have the $459,277.50? The future value of annuity tables tell how much will result from investing $1 at 5% for 10 but not for any other amount.

    However, a ratio could be set up to do the calculations for any amount. The algebra is given below.

          x         1  
      -------- = ------
      459277.5   12.578
      

    Although we do not know how much to invest each year to secure $459,277.50, one dollar ($1) invested for 10 years at 5% will produce 12.578 so a ratio as above can be set up to do the calculation for any other amount.

    Solving for x
    Use the rule multiplication and divison, multiply both sides by 459,277.5 and that gives
      59277.5x                   
      -------- = 459277.5(12.578)
      59277.5                    
      
    Simplify and get
          459277.5
      x = --------
           12.578 
      

    x, which is the amount to be invested annually = 36514.35

    The process can also be thought of as a partitioning; the amount $459,277.50 needs to be partitioned so just think about dividing and partitioning as the same, and divide the $459,277.5 by the future value of the annuity.

    This example just discussed can be used for any kind of debt that needs to paid -- pensions, accrued sick leave, legal bills, or bonds. The step are:

    • how much is needed at a future date,
    • what interest can be expected,
    • what is the future value of an annuity for the number of year between now and the date of the debt and the interest rate, and
    • divide the debt amount by the appropriate future value of an annuity?

    Or, algebraically:

    debt amount / fv of an annuity for appropriate number of years and rate

    Time value of money tables(under construction)


    See Also: homework , project elements , course readings , the glossary , stories , and a summary